Best Supporting Actress predictions (12/17/12)

Last time I did this, Hitchcock was a sight unseen, and Scarlett Johansson occupied one of the slots. Currently there are three locks, one almost lock, and a free-for-all.

1. Anne Hathaway, Les Misérables
She's been nominated before (almost won!), and she's quite popular in a popular film. This is a sure thing for a win.

2. Sally Field, Lincoln
Sally Field's performance has been captivating critics groups and has redefined Mary Lincoln as a nut. It's great work.

3. Amy Adams, The Master
Because I am doing this on my phone, I am frankly to lazy to check how many times Amy has been nominated. I believe this could be her 5th/6th nomination. The performance has been well-embraced by critics, and got a Globe nomination, but no SAG can hurt.

4. Helen Hunt, The Sessions
This is the third lock. Amy is a near lock, but she has a higher chance (but not too high) of winning. The Sessions, I think, will be a difficult film for the Academy because of SEX.

5. Maggie Smith, The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
Fox Searchlight could potentially have two supporting actress contenders. I think Dame Maggie will boot out Nicole Kidman's Paperboy because Fox can easily distribute Marigold quicker than Paperboy's little distributor can. Also, SAG gave Marigold a Best Cast nomination.

Check back for some more Oscar predictions

Golden Globe nominees!

FROM THE PRESS RELEASE:

1. BEST MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA

a. ARGO Warner Bros. Pictures, GK Films, Smokehouse Pictures; Warner Bros. Pictures

b. DJANGO UNCHAINED The Weinstein Company, Columbia Pictures; The Weinstein Company/Sony Pictures Releasing

c. LIFE OF PI Fox 2000 Pictures; Twentieth Century Fox

d. LINCOLN DreamWorks Pictures, Twentieth Century Fox; Touchstone Pictures

e. ZERO DARK THIRTY Columbia Pictures and Annapurna Pictures; Sony Pictures Releasing

2. BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA

a. JESSICA CHASTAIN ZERO DARK THIRTY

b. MARION COTILLARD RUST AND BONE

c. HELEN MIRREN HITCHCOCK

d. NAOMI WATTS THE IMPOSSIBLE

e. RACHEL WEISZ THE DEEP BLUE SEA

3. BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA

a. DANIEL DAY-LEWIS LINCOLN

b. RICHARD GERE ARBITRAGE

c. JOHN HAWKES THE SESSIONS

d. JOAQUIN PHOENIX THE MASTER

e. DENZEL WASHINGTON FLIGHT

4. BEST MOTION PICTURE – COMEDY OR MUSICAL

a. THE BEST EXOTIC MARIGOLD HOTEL – Blueprint Pictures/Participant Media; Fox Searchlight Pictures

b. LES MISERABLES – Universal Pictures, A Working Title Films/Cameron Mackintosh Productions; Universal Pictures

c. MOONRISE KINGDOM – Indian Paintbrush; Focus Features

d. SALMON FISHING IN THE YEMEN – CBS Films; CBS Films

e. SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK – The Weinstein Company; The Weinstein Company

5. BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE – COMEDY OR MUSICAL

a. EMILY BLUNT SALMON FISHING IN THE YEMEN

b. JUDI DENCH THE BEST EXOTIC MARIGOLD HOTEL

c. JENNIFER LAWRENCE SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK

d. MAGGIE SMITH QUARTET

e. MERYL STREEP HOPE SPRINGS

6. BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE – COMEDY OR MUSICAL

a. JACK BLACK BERNIE

b. BRADLEY COOPER SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK

c. HUGH JACKMAN LES MISERABLES

d. EWAN MCGREGOR SALMON FISHING IN THE YEMEN

e. BILL MURRAY HYDE PARK ON HUDSON