I was initially excited for Joe Wright's Anna Karenina, but unexciting clips and mediocre reviews made me lose interest.
But, there are two highly positive and influential reviews that could shake up the whole race. Ann Hornaday of the Washington Post and AO Scott of the New York Times both gave it 5/5. I would assume Scott will campaign for it come December at the New York Film Critics Circle, and maybe even for the Golden Globes.
Anna Karenina will probably do well with the BAFTA, a la Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy. Does this mean Karenina will be a Best Picture nominee? No, but don't count it out.
Extremely Loud was mostly ignored last year, except at the Critics Choice Awards. So maybe even this year, it's the critics that count, not the Guilds.