Metacritic keeps a tally of votes from top 10 lists. They did it two years ago, they did it last year, and their doing it this year. Last year, The Tree of Life trumped because it had 23 total first and second place votes. The Artist had 20 votes. Both became Best Picture nominees. Two years ago, The Social Network and Winter's Bone both were on top. Both became Best Picture nominees. This year, Zero Dark Thirty tops with 34 first and second place votes. Does this say anything about being nominated? No, since ZDT is basically a lock for a nomination. But second place, The Master, has 24 top slot seats. Does this say anything about being nominated? No, but it's a good sign that if The Master is doing well on top 10's, Academy members with similar tastes would also put it at equal heights. Same with #3 on the list, another Anderson film, Moonrise Kingdom. It has 15 mentions on #1 and #2 spots. These are the coveted spots needed for a Best Picture nomination. Still, there are Academy members with similar tastes as these top 10 folk, so this MUST be accounted for. I don't think The Master and Moonrise Kingdom stand as much a chance as Lincoln, but please don't be surprised if both are nominated.You can read the discussed list here.
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